Was BJP Planned to Defeat Congress in MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh by pushing them in Overconfidence through Opinion Poll of Paid TV Media ?

The Election Commission on 6 Oct 2018 announced dates for the assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Mizoram and Telangana. With the announcement of the poll dates by the ECI, the Model Code of Conduct has come into force with immediate effect. Five states will vote to elect new governments between November 12 and December 7 this year. Except Chhattisgarh, all other states - Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram, Telangana and Rajasthan - will vote in one phase each. Chhattisgarh votes in two phases on November 12 and 20. Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram will vote on November 28 while Rajasthan & Telangana will vote on December 7.

These three states (MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh) have a bipolar politics with direct fight between the BJP and the Congress. The other parties are minor players in all three states. And all three, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are ruled by the BJP. Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are crucial for both the BJP and the Congress in 2019 Lok Sabha election.

The BJP has been in power for three terms in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh while in Rajasthan, the Congress and the BJP have been alternating in power. Rajasthan Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje is claiming that she will duck the alternating power pattern in the state and will come back as the chief minister after assembly election.

Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are known to give clear majority to the winning party. In 2014, the difference in the vote share between the BJP and the Congress was 13 per cent in Rajasthan. It was eight per cent in Madhya Pradesh and just one per cent in Chhattisgarh. The BJP had practically clean swept Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in 2014 Lok Sabha election - all 25 seats in Rajasthan, 27 of 29 in Madhya Pradesh and 10 of 11 in Chhattisgarh. The Congress is eyeing to come back to power in all three states. But in all three states, the Congress is facing infighting while the BJP, under Amit Shah and Narendra Modi, has turned itself into an election winning machine.

The Congress fancies its chances to return to power in Rajasthan as the Vasundhara Raje government finding itself battling with a series of emotive issues - Padmavati controversy, cow vigilantism, mining scam and lynching. Hindutva is likely to be a poll issue in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. The killings of Pehlu Khan and Umair Khan in Alwar, Mohammad Afrazul in Rajasamand and Zafar Khan in Pratapgarh were linked to communal passion and cow vigilantism. Rajasthan has about 88 per cent Hindu voters and around 10 per cent Muslim voters.

In Madhya Pradesh the Congress has adopted Hindutva politics with state unit chief and chief minister hopeful Kamal Nath has undertaken Ram Path Gaman Yatra and announced to make shelters for cows if the party is voted to power in the assembly election. Madhya Pradesh has less than 10 per cent Muslim voters. The Hindutva politics of the Congress has forced three-time Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan to go a step further and announce setting up a separate ministry for cows if the BJP is again voted to power. Vyapam Ghotala, Poor stage of Farmer and anti-incumbency, Shivraj Government is on door of loose MP. BJP president Amit Shah has announced to undertake Maha Jansampark Abhiyan (mass contact campaign) to show up how he is doing hard work but at end he used EVM tempering to win MP. So public cannot say that BJP done nothing and how can they win & BJP can say due to Maha Jansampark Abhiyan, they won. This is the game plan of BJP for all election.

In Chhattisgharh, the Congress faces a serious leadership crisis. State unit chief Bhupesh Baghel is not considered a mass leader while Chief Minister Raman Singh has been the face of the BJP in Chhattisgarh. 36000 Crore PDS scam of Chhattisgarh made Raman Singh Unpopular & Disliked. But the 2013 election was a setback for him despite a win. The difference between the Congress and BJP vote shares five years ago was only one per cent even though the Opposition did not have a mass leader. Former Congress leader and ex-chief minister Ajit Jogi is in the fray this time with his own political outfit, the Janata Congress Chhattisgarh. Ajit Jogi's presence in the election may be a game change in the Maoist-affected state.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will lose to the Congress in the Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh assembly elections if they were to be held today, results of an ABP-CVoter opinion poll showed. The outcome of the poll also suggested that the BJP will win the Lok Sabha elections next year. Actually this opinion poll is game plan of BJP to increase confidence of Congress in this 3 states so congress will think that if they get clear majority then why we go for alliance with other party and by that thinking BJP destructs Maha Gathbandhan in each state as well as in Lok Sabha 2019.

BJP is scared of Maha Gathbandhan because bjp knows if that happen they will loose not only state but LokSabha election too. So here Congress should look out this issue and understand BJP plan to save democracy in India.

According to INDleak, BJP will win in all 3 States (MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh). Congress will get Overconfidence after Opinion Poll and will not do alliance with other party and by this way BJP plan is to destruct MahaGathbandhan in State & Loksabha 2019 election. With the help of EVM, bjp will win in all 3 states because Chief Election Commissioner O P Rawat will help bjp in each way. Actually O P Rawat was Principal Secretary of Madhya Pradesh Government so he will help not only Shivraj Sinh in MP but for Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh too. Initially Election Commission was declared 12:30 PM for announcement of election date in 5 states but after phone call of bjp leader they changed it and announced at 3:00 PM because PM Modi is in Ajmer for lecture and promises to public. What’s the hell is this??? In coming time I will make article on EVM and Election Commission to expose them.

There are 52 cases pending in Court against EVM Tempering but Election commission does not care about it because bjp wants only EVM & VVPAT for their setting and tempering to win each election. They loosed in 3 loksabha up Chunav seat in Utter Pradesh because bjp can’t take risk for just 3 seat so they did not done any setting in EVM. So actually they loosed by public actual voting. All India want election through Ballot paper but Election commission ignore it each and every time because bjp told them to denied it. If election done by Ballot paper then BJP exposed so badly like never before and loose each and every election in India.

The BJP, which had won 163 seats in the 2013 Rajasthan Assembly election, will only win 57 this time around, while the Congress' seat count will rise to 130 from a mere 21 in 2013, the opinion poll suggested.

In Madhya Pradesh, the BJP had won 165 seats in 2013, but the poll predicted that its seat count would come down to 106 and that the Congress will win 117, which is more than twice its 2013 count of 53.

The poll also predicted that Chhattisgarh, which will go to polls later this year, will show a similar trend. The Congress will likely increase its seat count in the state from 39 to 54, while the BJP's count will fall to 33 this time around from 49 in the previous election.

In all three states, the Congress is seen getting a clear majority in the Assembly elections. However, the 28,000 respondents of the opinion poll voted differently when it came to the Lok Sabha election and selected the BJP as the apparent winner. The survey predicted that all three states will vote for the BJP in the Lok Sabha election. These states together have 65 Lok Sabha seats.

INDleak: Congress should not trust this paid Opinion Poll and work hard in each state and try to do alliance with other party which will help them not only in state but in Loksabha election 2019 also. So make unity and kick out BJP from India because bjp will kill democracy if they win any election now onwards.

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